Buying beats renting in many cities

As rents continue to hit new highs and mortgage rates remain low, buying a starter home now costs less per month than renting a similar-sized unit in 24 of the 50 largest U.S. metros, according to the Realtor.com® Monthly Rental Report released today. The top markets where it’s more affordable to buy a starter home versus rent one include: Birmingham, Ala. (33.1% lower), St. Louis, Mo. (29.4% lower), Pittsburgh (27.7% lower), Orlando (25.9% lower) and Cleveland (25.7% lower).

Nationally, rents continued rising at an unusually fast pace in July, up 9.8% over last year and 12.2% since 2019. All unit sizes tracked by Realtor.com® posted rent gains and hit new highs: Two-bedrooms at $1,802 (+10.9%), one-bedrooms at $1,495 (+9.5%) and studios at $1,315 (+5.6%).

“Rents hit new highs in 40 of the 50 largest U.S. metros this July and grew at an almost double-digit pace – the fastest yearly rate we’ve seen in the last 18 months,” said Realtor.com® Chief Economist Danielle Hale. “Sky-high rents and historically low interest rates have made the  monthly cost to buy a starter home lower than renting one in nearly half the markets across the U.S. While this is good news for first-time buyers in these metros, there are plenty of other factors to consider when deciding whether to become a homeowner, including making sure it’s the right time for you and your family. But if the monthly costs have been holding you back, data suggests it’s worth exploring in many markets, and although it’s still hard to find entry-level homes, we are seeing more smaller homes coming on the market.”

Hale added, many of July’s highest rent gains were seen in secondary markets where rental demand has exploded during COVID, driven in part by remote work enabling employees to escape crowded, expensive big cities – at least temporarily. With the future of remote work uncertain for many Americans, first-time homebuyers saw less of a frenzy than renters in a number of July’s highest-priced rental markets. This has helped keep monthly starter home costs an average 15.5% ($216) lower than rents in nearly half of the 50 largest U.S. metros. (See methodology below.)

First-time homebuying is relatively more affordable in hot rental markets

In the top 10 metros that favored first-time homebuying over renting in July, monthly starter home payments were an average 24.3% lower than rents, driven in part by lower median listing prices ($192,000) than the national average ($297,000). The types of starter homes for sale also play a key role in monthly payments, with active inventory in these buyer-friendly metros including nearly two times the share of single-family starter homes (56.1%) than in condo-heavy markets that favor renting.

In July, the top 10 markets that favored buying over renting were: Birmingham, Ala. (33.1% lower), St. Louis, Mo. (29.4% lower), Pittsburgh (27.7% lower), Orlando (25.9% lower), Cleveland (25.7% lower), Tampa (22.9% lower), Baltimore (20.5% lower), Indianapolis (20.4% lower), Virginia Beach (19.2% lower) and Riverside, Calif. (18.5% lower).

Many of these metros also posted sizeable rent gains over last year in July, led by Riverside (+29.7%), where the median rental price of $2,230 was 18.5% ($413) higher than starter home payments, at $1,817 per month. Even with the surge in prices, Riverside rents were relatively lower than in nearby Los Angeles ($2,742), making the metro an attractive option to big city renters looking to save during COVID. Compared to Los Angeles, first-time homebuyers in Riverside saw 51.5% lower asking prices and nearly three times the share of single-family starter homes, at 75.1% of entry-level inventory in July.

Renting beats out buying in big tech cities with rents yet to recover from COVID 

Typically some of the nation’s most expensive housing markets, big tech hubs largely favored renting over buying a starter home in July, partly attributed to higher condo HOA fees. Among 0-2 bedroom homes in these top 10 cities, over seven-in-ten (71%) were condos, on average, compared to 58% nationwide, while median HOA fees of $334 among homes that had this fee were 27% higher than the U.S. median ($263).

Seven of the top 10 markets where monthly starter home costs were higher than rents are tech-heavy areas, including: Austin, at 79.2% higher; San Jose, at 47.5% higher; San Francisco, at 44.4% higher; Seattle, at 44.2% higher; Boston, at 40.9% higher; Los Angeles at 39.4% higher; and New York, at 32.0% higher.

While rental prices have surpassed pre-COVID levels in the majority of U.S. markets, rents in many of the biggest tech cities have yet to catch up to historical peaks. Among the 50 largest U.S. markets, the only four where rents declined from last year in July were all big tech hubs: New York (-6.1%), Boston (-3.7%), San Francisco (-2.9%) and Chicago (-1.4%).

Leading the list of metros that favor renting by a wide margin, at $1,228 higher monthly starter home costs than rents, Austin is currently one of the nation’s most competitive housing markets. While costs like median HOA fees are relatively lower in Austin compared to other big tech cities, at $104 versus $1,222 in New York, first-time homebuyers are competing for limited affordable options, with 0-2 bedroom home inventory down 59% year-over-year and prices up 17.5% to a median $431,000 in July.

“Emerging tech hubs like Austin have seen a surge in housing demand in recent years as more Silicon Valley companies have opened or expanded offices in these areas. Relocating employees, including many millennials, can see their housing dollars go much further, with rental costs roughly half as high as in San Francisco and San Jose and starter home costs more than a third lower. With growth expected to continue in Austin, there’s a premium on real estate, but California transplants may find that relative affordability creates first-time homebuying opportunities,” Hale said.

Realtor.com®July 2021 Rental Data – Top 10 Markets that Favor Buying Over Renting
RankMetro% Cost
Difference
(Buy-Rent)
$ Cost
Difference
(Buy-Rent)
Median
Rent
Monthly
Buy
Cost
Rent
YoY
Buy
Cost
YoY
1Birmingham-Hoover, Ala.-33.1%-$361$1,089$72812.3%28.2%
2St. Louis, Mo.-Ill.-29.4%-$340$1,155$8157.4%13.7%
3Pittsburgh, Pa.-27.7%-$381$1,376$9958.3%18.9%
4Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, Fla.-25.9%-$403$1,557$1,15416.2%4.5%
5Cleveland-Elyria, Ohio-25.7%-$280$1,089$8096.8%2.4%
6Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, Fla.-22.9%-$389$1,698$1,30927.2%15.1%
7Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, Md.-20.5%-$337$1,647$1,3106.8%7.8%
8Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, Ind.-20.4%-$235$1,150$91513.5%4.9%
9Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, Va.-N.C.-19.2%-$256$1,330$1,07411.9%3.1%
10Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, Calif.-18.5%-$413$2,230$1,81729.7%17.7%
Realtor.com®July 2021 Rental Data – Top 10 Markets that Favor Renting Over Buying
RankMetro% Cost
Difference
(Buy-Rent)
$ Cost
Difference
(Buy-Rent)
Median
Rent
Monthly
Buy
Cost
Rent
YoY
Buy
Cost
YoY
1Austin-Round Rock, Texas79.2%$1,228$1,550$2,77814.8%17.2%
2San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, Calif.47.5%$1,396$2,936$4,3321.4%4.8%
3San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, Calif.44.4%$1,272$2,865$4,137-2.9%-5.7%
4Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, Wash.44.2%$872$1,975$2,8475.6%3.1%
5Boston-Cambridge-Newton, Mass.-N.H.40.9%$1,001$2,450$3,451-3.7%6.1%
6Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, Calif.39.4%$1,081$2,742$3,8236.7%9.5%
7New York-Newark-Jersey City, N.Y.-N.J.-Pa.32.0%$773$2,418$3,191-6.1%5.6%
8Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, Texas26.9%$382$1,420$1,80213.6%-0.6%
9Rochester, N.Y.26.5%$321$1,210$1,5319.5%-8.0%
10Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, Ore.-Wash.26.4%$443$1,675$2,11811.7%14.1%
Realtor.com®July 2021 Rental Data – 50 Largest Metropolitan Areas
MetroMedian
Rent
Rent
Y/Y
Studio
Median
Rent
Studio
Rent
Y/Y
1br
Median
Rent
1br
Rent
Y/Y
2br
Median
Rent
2br
Rent
Y/Y
% Cost
Difference
(Buy-Rent)
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, Ga.$1,64918.5%$1,52513.4%$1,55519.1%$1,81220.8%-5.8%
Austin-Round Rock, Texas$1,55014.8%$1,2339.5%$1,43016.7%$1,75517.4%79.2%
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, Md.$1,6476.8%$1,45016.0%$1,5697.1%$1,7505.8%-20.5%
Birmingham-Hoover, Ala.$1,08912.3%$1,10518.2%$1,04012.4%$1,12112.7%-33.1%
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, Mass.-N.H.$2,450-3.7%$2,050-7.0%$2,325-3.1%$2,675-8.3%40.9%
Buffalo-Cheektowaga-Niagara Falls, N.Y.$1,1857.4%$8608.2%$1,0704.4%$1,3508.0%17.2%
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, N.C.-S.C.$1,47614.0%$1,34013.8%$1,36813.5%$1,62414.8%-14.7%
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, Ill.-Ind.-Wis.$1,675-1.4%$1,200-16.7%$1,626-2.0%$1,8950.0%-4.7%
Cincinnati, Ohio-Ky.-Ind.$1,18813.1%$1,0301.3%$1,13510.7%$1,26915.4%-1.4%
Cleveland-Elyria, Ohio$1,0896.8%$7952.7%$1,0296.1%$1,19010.2%-25.7%
Columbus, Ohio$1,16510.7%$99510.7%$1,10511.1%$1,25011.0%1.1%
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, Texas$1,42013.6%$1,22614.4%$1,29914.4%$1,68216.8%26.9%
Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, Colo.$1,86612.9%$1,5489.0%$1,74813.6%$2,17515.1%14.8%
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, Mich.$1,1958.6%$9955.3%$1,03610.2%$1,3407.6%-14.1%
Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, Conn.$1,5457.7%$1,149-2.5%$1,4506.6%$1,75010.9%-16.4%
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, Texas$1,2957.9%$1,26010.3%$1,1858.2%$1,4547.8%25.2%
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN$1,15013.5%$9644.2%$1,05512.2%$1,28018.0%-20.4%
Jacksonville, Fla.$1,36117.3%$1,00028.4%$1,26020.6%$1,47519.0%-9.7%
Kansas City, Mo.-Kan.$1,1507.6%$9004.0%$1,0345.0%$1,3468.1%-17.0%
Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, Nev.$1,45419.7%$9009.1%$1,34022.4%$1,59521.0%-9.7%
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, Calif.$2,7426.7%$2,0492.7%$2,4806.0%$3,2888.8%39.4%
Louisville/Jefferson County, Ky.-Ind.$1,0358.9%$9003.4%$9856.8%$1,13513.5%-18.2%
Memphis, Tenn.-Miss.-Ark.$1,18824.4%$1,05013.5%$1,16424.5%$1,23524.7%1
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, Fla.$2,30020.7%$1,84518.2%$2,03017.3%$2,62217.1%-3.1%
Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, Wis.$1,4013.8%$1,075-1.8%$1,3002.0%$1,6256.6%5.9%
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, Minn.-Wis.$1,5002.7%$1,2150.9%$1,4392.5%$1,8247.4%-2.9%
Nashville-Davidson-Murfreesboro-Franklin, Tenn.$1,47911.6%$1,5257.3%$1,39912.2%$1,52911.2%11.1%
New Orleans-Metairie, La.$1,3403.1%$97514.7%$1,2750.8%$1,5000.0%15.1%
New York-Newark-Jersey City, N.Y.-N.J.-Pa.$2,418-6.1%$2,145-12.3%$2,235-6.9%$2,720-2.5%32.0%
Oklahoma City, Okla.$8596.8%$685-14.4%$78910.3%$9306.4%7.9%
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, Fla.$1,55716.2%$1,39015.8%$1,45017.4%$1,75722.7%-25.9%
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, Pa.-N.J.-Del-Md.$1,6353.5%$1,3002.0%$1,5753.3%$1,8204.0%-9.2%
Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, Ariz.$1,64323.5%$1,21028.0%$1,47525.7%$1,84022.7%5.8%
Pittsburgh, Pa.$1,3768.3%$1,22010.9%$1,3108.3%$1,50311.3%-27.7%
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, Ore.-Wash.$1,67511.7%$1,3905.7%$1,62310.8%$1,89916.9%26.4%
Providence-Warwick, R.I.-Mass.$1,8008.8%$1,350-16.0%$1,5957.8%$2,00011.1%4.0%
Raleigh, N.C.$1,44216.4%$1,30911.6%$1,33117.5%$1,61020.0%11.0%
Richmond, Va.$1,27213.6%$1,14619.0%$1,17417.4%$1,40112.5%-2.8%
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, Calif.$2,23029.7%$1,3689.9%$1,84122.7%$2,60539.8%-18.5%
Rochester, N.Y.$1,2109.5%$8828.9%$1,10310.4%$1,3508.9%26.5%
Sacramento-Roseville-Arden-Arcade, Calif.$1,89020.9%$1,63912.2%$1,75020.1%$2,00020.8%13.2%
San Antonio-New Braunfels, Texas$1,1509.0%$9504.6%$1,06411.4%$1,32411.7%20.3%
San Diego-Carlsbad, Calif.$2,61021.7%$9957.1%$2,42224.5%$2,95020.4%18.6%
San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, Calif.$2,865-2.9%$2,08018.5%$2,650-5.2%$3,336-4.7%44.4%
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, Calif.$2,9361.4%$2,305-8.3%$2,7503.3%$3,3331.2%47.5%
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, Wash.$1,9755.6%$2,3377.4%$1,9905.0%$2,2124.3%44.2%
St. Louis, Mo.-Ill.$1,1557.4%$1,6072.0%$1,13010.2%$1,2297.7%-29.4%
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, Fla.$1,69827.2%$1,52020.7%$1,56030.5%$1,91131.8%-22.9%
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, Va.-N.C.$1,33011.9%$1,1293.6%$1,30012.6%$1,43916.4%-19.2%
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, D.C.-Va.-Md.-W.V.$2,0203.3%$1,634-2.9%$1,9292.1%$2,3877.1%4.3%

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